šŸ  A 27% drop in demand, an $11M pending, and what’s next

šŸ  A 27% drop in demand, an $11M pending, and what’s next

Matt Goyer

October 28, 2026

4 min read

Buyer demand, as measured by the number of homes going under contract, nosedived last week; pending home sales were on par with the slowest weeks of the summer (think the lull before July 4th or Labor Day weekend). Compared to this time last year, demand is down 27%.

Keep in mind: that data is from last week, before headlines landed about Microsoft buyouts and potential layoffs.

Yet in true K-shaped economy fashion, someone put an $11M waterfront home under contract last week after just 13 days on the market. 

Maybe last week was a blip. Maybe not. Either way, this week wraps up the fall real estate market. Next week, the "Big Dark" officially settles in, marking the beginning of our winter market.

What that means:

  • Inventory is about to dry up: Many sellers will pull their listings off the market for the next 4 to 5 months rather than let days on market tick up.Ā 
  • Serious leverage for active buyers: For anyone still shopping what’s left, this is historically the best time of the year. Buyers consistently negotiate their deepest discounts in November and December.
  • Builder motivation: Builders with remaining new construction inventory want closings on the books before year-end, which translates to aggressive rate buydowns and closing credits. Over on the Eastside, a builder ā€œdroppedā€ their new home from $4.75M to $3.75M to run a 7-day ā€œauctionā€. We’re very curious to see how that pans out!

Speaking of opportunities: last week we helped our 15th buyer at Spire. They just closed on #2502 for $1.1M, a home that last traded hands a year ago for $1.31M.

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šŸ  What caught our eye last week

šŸ“° Must-read real estate news

šŸ“ˆ Small bump in new Seattle listings last week

Seattle: 271 new listings last week, up 4.63% w-o-w
Eastside: 171 new listings last week, down 2.84% w-o-w

šŸ“‰Buyer demand falls off a cliff (down 27% yoy)

Seattle: 131 pending last week, down 20.12% w-o-w
Eastside: 88 pending last week, down 20.72% w-o-w

šŸ”„ The hottest new listings

$3.75M New Modern Kirkland Home with Elevator and Six Bedrooms (First Look)

$2M Fully Rebuilt Mid-Century Bellevue Home with Five Bedrooms

$1.895M Pritchard Island Cape Cod Waterfront Home with 80-Foot Dock

Check out last week’s market update 8 offers and $500K over!? The truth about fall bidding wars

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Urban Living is a boutique real estate brokerage helping clients in Seattle and on the Eastside buy and sell amazing homes. Urban Living started in 2006 as a blog about Seattle real estate with an emphasis on lofts, condos, new construction, and midcentury moderns. In 2018 we formed a brokerage so we could help readers buy and sell the amazing homes we featured. From Beacon Hill to Ballard (and beyond), from $200,000 to $5+ million, we'd love to help you.